Table of Contents
Double Chance is a popular option, and a few facts clarify how it works. This article covers the definitions, the arithmetic of the price and the situations in which it makes sense.
Coverage
It covers two of the three results: home or draw, away or draw, or home or away. The selection fails only when the uncovered result occurs. Thinking about which result is least likely is the first step.
Pricing
Covering two results makes success more likely and the price lower. The lower price is not a bargain; it is simply a reflection of probability. If a home win is 45 percent and a draw 27 percent, the combination is 72 percent, or odds near 1.39 before the margin.
Suitable Situations
It fits matches in which one team is unlikely to lose but a win is uncertain, such as a solid home side hosting a stronger opponent. It also suits cases in which a draw is a good result for your side.
When to Avoid It
If the price is so short that it barely reflects the risk of the uncovered result, there may be little reason to take it.
Misunderstandings
Double Chance is not risk-free. Favourites lose, and the option fails when the uncovered result occurs. Combining many in one combination multiplies the small risks.
Comparing With Your View
Add your probabilities for the two results and compare with the implied probability.
Perspective
Tips are opinions and should be used responsibly and within the law.
Frequently Asked Questions
What results does 12 cover?
A home or away win, but not a draw.
Why are the prices lower?
Success is more likely.
Is it risk-free?
No.
When does it fit?
When a team is unlikely to lose.
Are tips certain?
No.
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